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V-Lab

Coil GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

31.65%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

36.91%

increased by 5.26%

1 Month

46.12%

increased by 14.47%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Coil GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2129
21.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1870
15.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6948
74.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0259
1.10

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days