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V-Lab

Goldcrest Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

27.91%

increased by 0.51%

1 Week

29.96%

increased by 2.56%

1 Month

32.73%

increased by 5.33%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldcrest Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 14, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 19% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1336
20.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5575
44.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0250
2.31**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2550
0.96
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2847
2.93***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6805
5.06***

Persistence:

0.704

Half-life:

2 days