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V-Lab

Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

8.51%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

8.54%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

8.65%

increased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 1992 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 352 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~352 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0015
3.69***
αARCH0.0545
4.45***
βGARCH0.9498
143.83***
γleverage-0.0126
-0.63

0.998

Persistence

352d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0015
3.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0545
4.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9498
143.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0126
-0.63

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

352 days