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Vietnam Hanoi Stock Exchange Equity Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

17.35%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

18.82%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

22.63%

increased by 4.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Hanoi Stock Exchange Equity Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2005 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 92% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.1393
6.66***
βGARCH0.7356
38.94***
γleverage0.1283
3.74***
λ₁tau intercept0.0077
1.60
λ₂forecast adj.0.0225
3.46***
λ₃tau persistence0.9750
131.74***

0.939

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1393
6.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7356
38.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1283
3.74***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0077
1.60
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0225
3.46***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9750
131.74***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days