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V-Lab

Vietnam Hanoi Stock Exchange Equity Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

31.48%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Week

31.51%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Month

32.22%

decreased by 0.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Hanoi Stock Exchange Equity Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2005 to Apr 29, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 102% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1342
29.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7340
122.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1364
20.12***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0076
11.06***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0232
11.18***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9743
438.29***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

11 days