V-Lab
Vietnam Hanoi Stock Exchange Equity Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
17.35%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Week
18.82%
increased by 0.30%
1 Month
22.63%
increased by 4.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2005 to Sep 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 92% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.1393 | 6.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7356 | 38.94*** |
| γleverage | 0.1283 | 3.74*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0077 | 1.60 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0225 | 3.46*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9750 | 131.74*** |
0.939
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1393 | 6.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7356 | 38.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1283 | 3.74*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0077 | 1.60 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0225 | 3.46*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9750 | 131.74*** |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
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