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V-Lab

Vietnam Hanoi Stock Exchange Equity Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

30.30%

decreased by 3.22%

1 Week

30.82%

decreased by 2.70%

1 Month

32.80%

decreased by 0.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Hanoi Stock Exchange Equity Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2005 to Apr 29, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 242 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0614
27.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2211
50.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7761
242.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2392
12.51***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

242 days