Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:9.67% (+0.70%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0121 | 13.85 | |
| 0.0671 | 11.62 | |
| 0.9229 | 319.12 | |
| -0.0148 | -1.88 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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