Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:8.24% (+0.82%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9415 | 9.48 | |
| 0.0669 | 4.85 | |
| 0.8824 | 43.99 | |
| -0.0021 | -0.07 | |
| -0.0056 | -0.11 | |
| 0.0643 | 1.74 | |
| -0.2177 | -5.09 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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