Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:9.56% (+0.62%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9793 | 9.98 | |
| 0.0603 | 5.88 | |
| 0.9219 | 78.45 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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