Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:9.20% (+0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0079 | -10.84 | |
| 0.1355 | 23.67 | |
| 0.9809 | 781.00 | |
| 0.0127 | 2.83 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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