Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:11.20% (+2.27%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0115 | 15.06 | |
| 0.0595 | 24.01 | |
| 0.9234 | 331.43 | |
| -0.0671 | -2.93 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 5, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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