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US Dollar to Argentine Peso GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

43,552.22%

increased by 1,307.68%

1 Week

43,508.69%

increased by 1,264.15%

1 Month

43,335.29%

increased by 1,090.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Argentine Peso GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0837
0.37
αARCH0.1198
53.39***
βGARCH0.9990
364.33***
νDF2.0000

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0837
0.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1198
53.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
364.33***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days