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V-Lab

US Dollar to Argentine Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

5.76%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

5.95%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

6.75%

increased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Argentine Peso EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 96 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~96 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0170
1.29
αARCH0.1892
3.29***
βGARCH0.9928
470.76***
γleverage0.0200
0.73

0.993

Persistence

96d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0170
1.29
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1892
3.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9928
470.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0200
0.73

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

96 days