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US Dollar to Argentine Peso MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

5.75%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Week

6.27%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

8.87%

increased by 2.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Argentine Peso MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.2331
3.86***
βGARCH0.7519
26.68***
γleverage-0.0585
-0.73
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
1.25
λ₂forecast adj.0.0745
4.35***
λ₃tau persistence0.9255
54.99***

0.956

Persistence

15d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2331
3.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7519
26.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0585
-0.73
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
1.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0745
4.35***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9255
54.99***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days