V-Lab
S&P Composite 1500 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
13.18%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
13.38%
increased by 0.21%
1 Month
14.08%
increased by 0.91%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 12:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0245 | 19.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8903 | 389.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1801 | 30.09*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices