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V-Lab

Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026

1 Day

1.51%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

1.51%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

1.52%

increased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time