Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
2.14%
increased by 0.08%
1 Week
2.14%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
2.15%
increased by 0.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0000 | 6.00 | |
| 0.1266 | 40.66 | |
| 0.8734 | 339.85 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 5, 2010 to May 22, 2026
Aug 5, 2010 to May 22, 2026
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