Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
1.68%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
1.71%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.77%
increased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8199 | 5.81 | |
| 0.0709 | 4.65 | |
| 0.8658 | 32.83 | |
| -0.5983 | -2.23 | |
| 1.3571 | 3.45 | |
| -0.9874 | -3.64 | |
| -0.1294 | -0.48 | |
| 1.0093 | 3.52 | |
| -1.7205 | -5.87 | |
| 2.5891 | 8.88 | |
| -2.5126 | -7.29 | |
| 1.1835 | 3.24 | |
| -0.3165 | -0.65 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 5, 2010 to May 22, 2026
Aug 5, 2010 to May 22, 2026
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