Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
1.76%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
1.79%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.88%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8225 | 5.79 | |
| 0.0707 | 4.66 | |
| 0.8670 | 33.21 | |
| -0.5845 | -2.16 | |
| 1.3354 | 3.37 | |
| -0.9794 | -3.59 | |
| -0.1215 | -0.45 | |
| 0.9865 | 3.43 | |
| -1.6872 | -5.75 | |
| 2.5485 | 8.80 | |
| -2.4600 | -7.33 | |
| 1.0995 | 3.39 | |
| -0.1370 | -0.61 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 5, 2010 to May 22, 2026
Aug 5, 2010 to May 22, 2026
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