V-Lab
Regencell Bioscience Hol Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
104.63%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Week
108.73%
increased by 3.07%
1 Month
118.13%
increased by 12.47%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0051 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8916 | 45.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0489 | 8.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.6238 | 0.05 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.05 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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