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V-Lab

Regencell Bioscience Hol Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

145.01%

decreased by 3.29%

1 Week

139.94%

decreased by 8.36%

1 Month

136.57%

decreased by 11.73%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Regencell Bioscience Hol Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 9, 2002 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0043
0.81
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8980
45.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0468
8.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6187
0.05
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days