V-Lab
Regencell Bioscience Hol Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
158.29%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Week
158.99%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Month
161.80%
increased by 2.38%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 2002 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1207 trading days (~4.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1207 daysAsymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0070 | 0.32 |
| αARCH | 0.0318 | 1.69* |
| βGARCH | 0.9994 | 203.76*** |
| γleverage | -0.0353 | -3.27*** |
0.999
Persistence1207d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0070 | 0.32 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0318 | 1.69* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9994 | 203.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0353 | -3.27*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1207 days
Other Regencell Bioscience Hol Ltd Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equities