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Regencell Bioscience Hol Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

158.29%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

158.99%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Month

161.80%

increased by 2.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Regencell Bioscience Hol Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 9, 2002 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1207 trading days (~4.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1207 daysAsymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0070
0.32
αARCH0.0318
1.69*
βGARCH0.9994
203.76***
γleverage-0.0353
-3.27***

0.999

Persistence

1207d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0070
0.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0318
1.69*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9994
203.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0353
-3.27***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1207 days