V-Lab
Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
14.62%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
15.04%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
16.51%
increased by 1.51%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0352 | 13.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0172 | 6.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9094 | 313.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1230 | 15.25*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
58 days
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