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V-Lab

Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

14.62%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Week

15.04%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

16.51%

increased by 1.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0352
13.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0172
6.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9094
313.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1230
15.25***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days