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V-Lab

Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

15.45%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

16.03%

increased by 0.28%

1 Month

17.60%

increased by 1.85%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4957
4.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0797
3.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8705
27.25***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0902
-2.71***
γ20.1053
2.62***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

14 days