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Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

323.62%

decreased by 23.00%

1 Week

322.89%

decreased by 23.73%

1 Month

319.98%

decreased by 26.64%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

44.6218
14.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0745
77.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9974
5,012.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0013

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

271 days