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V-Lab

Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

15.23%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

15.86%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

17.49%

increased by 1.84%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0212
7.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8516
143.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1358
21.10***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2076
3.22***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4735
4.26***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4400
3.15***

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days