V-Lab
Invesco Russell 2000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
15.23%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
15.86%
increased by 0.21%
1 Month
17.49%
increased by 1.84%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0212 | 7.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8516 | 143.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1358 | 21.10*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2076 | 3.22*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4735 | 4.26*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4400 | 3.15*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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