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V-Lab

S&P 100 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

15.11%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Week

15.19%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

15.47%

decreased by 0.26%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of S&P 100 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0208
19.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0051
2.23**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9022
377.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1501
27.67***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days