V-Lab
S&P 100 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
15.11%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Week
15.19%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Month
15.47%
decreased by 0.26%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0208 | 19.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0051 | 2.23** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9022 | 377.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1501 | 27.67*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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