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V-Lab

S&P 100 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

12.02%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

12.24%

increased by 0.00%

1 Month

12.99%

increased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of S&P 100 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0208
19.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0050
2.15**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9021
376.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1506
27.73***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days