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V-Lab

S&P 100 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

13.24%

increased by 0.29%

1 Week

13.44%

increased by 0.49%

1 Month

14.16%

increased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P 100 Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0054
0.54
αARCH0.1521
9.40***
βGARCH0.9717
173.58***
γleverage-0.1203
-6.78***

0.972

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0054
0.54
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1521
9.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9717
173.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1203
-6.78***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days