V-Lab
Altria Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
35.73%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
35.59%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Month
35.06%
decreased by 1.39%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0333 | 16.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0408 | 16.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9306 | 385.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0363 | 8.37*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
66 days
Other Altria Group Inc Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities