Skip to main content
V-Lab

Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

29.77%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

31.06%

increased by 1.11%

1 Month

33.57%

increased by 3.62%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 82% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0915
11.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6773
36.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0746
6.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0109
1.89*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0285
2.81***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9679
87.77***

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days