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V-Lab

Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

28.16%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

30.51%

increased by 1.67%

1 Month

32.82%

increased by 3.98%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0913
2.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6776
11.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0748
1.83*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0109
1.95*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0286
3.01***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9678
95.14***

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days