V-Lab
Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
28.16%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Week
30.51%
increased by 1.67%
1 Month
32.82%
increased by 3.98%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0913 | 2.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6776 | 11.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0748 | 1.83* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0109 | 1.95* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0286 | 3.01*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9678 | 95.14*** |
Persistence:
0.806
Half-life:
3 days
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