V-Lab
Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
29.77%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
31.06%
increased by 1.11%
1 Month
33.57%
increased by 3.62%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 82% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0915 | 11.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6773 | 36.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0746 | 6.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0109 | 1.89* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0285 | 2.81*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9679 | 87.77*** |
Persistence:
0.806
Half-life:
3 days
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