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V-Lab

Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

25.01%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Week

25.78%

increased by 0.12%

1 Month

26.82%

increased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Altria Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0890
11.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6780
37.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0790
7.05***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0110
1.90*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0280
2.78***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9683
88.01***

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days