V-Lab
Sprott Active Mtls & MNS ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
42.08%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
45.99%
increased by 3.38%
1 Month
54.02%
increased by 11.41%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7853 | 388.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2529 | 41.94*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 15.4911 | 33.68*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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