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V-Lab

Sprott Active Mtls & MNS ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

40.46%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

42.15%

increased by 1.09%

1 Month

43.59%

increased by 2.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Sprott Active Mtls & MNS ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3360
6.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6218
11.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1523
2.93***

Persistence:

0.698

Half-life:

2 days