V-Lab
Sprott Active Mtls & MNS ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
36.81%
decreased by 1.77%
1 Week
37.90%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Month
41.07%
increased by 2.49%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 134% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3842 | 6.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2533 | 5.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7790 | 44.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1452 | -2.51** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
Other Sprott Active Mtls & MNS ETF Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on ETFs