V-Lab
Sprott Active Mtls & MNS ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
44.42%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
44.42%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
44.42%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0756 | 2.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9593 | 8.79*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1064 | 0.16 |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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