V-Lab
Nomura Focused Emerging Markets Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
39.72%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Week
39.87%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Month
40.41%
decreased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 5, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0874 | 5.43*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1081 | 4.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8740 | 90.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0153 | 0.40 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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