V-Lab
Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
11.14%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
11.36%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Month
11.98%
increased by 0.46%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0330 | 15.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0693 | 12.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8723 | 158.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0240 | 2.47** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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