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Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026

1 Day

14.27%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

14.18%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

13.89%

decreased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/29/2024

to

10/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1994 to Oct 29, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0231
3.96***
αARCH0.0501
3.21***
βGARCH0.9069
58.69***
γleverage0.0158
0.56

0.965

Persistence

19d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0231
3.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0501
3.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9069
58.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0158
0.56

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days