Skip to main content
V-Lab

Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

11.14%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Week

11.36%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

11.98%

increased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0330
15.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0693
12.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8723
158.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0240
2.47**

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days