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V-Lab

Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

8.11%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

8.10%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

8.07%

decreased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0655
922.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0094

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days