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V-Lab

Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

10.81%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

11.50%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

13.82%

increased by 2.73%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 27% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0225
7.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1394
19.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9468
247.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0166
-2.46**

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days