Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
10.81%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
11.50%
increased by 0.41%
1 Month
13.82%
increased by 2.73%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 27% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0225 | 7.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1394 | 19.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9468 | 247.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0166 | -2.46** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
Other Ecuador Guayaquil Stock Exchange BVG Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equity Indices