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V-Lab
V-Lab

Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Friday, August 28th, 2026):

1 Day

54.58%

1 Week

54.75%

1 Month

51.71%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2026 to Aug 27, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 138629 trading days (~550.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~138629 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH1.0000
0.10
γleverage0.0000
0.00
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0159
3.39***
λ₃tau persistence0.8925
125.02***

1.000

Persistence

138629d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

1.0000
0.10
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0159
3.39***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8925
125.02***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

138629 days