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V-Lab

Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

102.17%

increased by 6.69%

1 Week

147.45%

increased by 51.97%

1 Month

192.03%

increased by 96.55%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
17.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4242
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2023
0.06

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days