V-Lab
Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
992.43%
increased by 36.28%
1 Week
692.76%
decreased by 263.39%
1 Month
392.46%
decreased by 563.69%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5620 | 4.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.7669 | -1.85* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8705 | 1,519.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0907 | -0.31 |
Persistence:
0.870
Half-life:
5 days
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