V-Lab
Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Friday, August 28th, 2026):
1 Day
147.54%
1 Week
148.07%
1 Month
148.93%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 2026 to Aug 27, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8948 | 5.41*** |
| αARCH | 0.0098 | 0.20 |
| βGARCH | 0.8352 | 4.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.1946 | -0.78 |
0.845
Persistence4d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8948 | 5.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0098 | 0.20 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8352 | 4.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -1.1946 | -0.78 |
Persistence:
0.845
Half-life:
4 days
Other Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs