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V-Lab

Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

138.95%

decreased by 3.48%

1 Week

143.04%

increased by 0.61%

1 Month

158.35%

increased by 15.92%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance 2x Daily Long Pure Drone and Aerial Automation ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2892
1.21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1535
2.00**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9233
34.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1535
-1.76*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-