CBOE Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	26
αARCH	0.4254	7.38***
βGARCH	0.5436	14.97***
γleverage	-0.1137	-1.74*
λ₁tau intercept	0.0013	1.14
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0162	2.21**
λ₃tau persistence	0.9838	134.09***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	26
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.4254	7.38***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.5436	14.97***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1137	-1.74*
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0013	1.14
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0162	2.21**
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9838	134.09***

V-Lab

Blom Stock Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Blom Stock Index Analyses