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V-Lab

Jason Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

18.05%

decreased by 1.45%

1 Week

21.87%

increased by 2.37%

1 Month

37.33%

increased by 17.83%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jason Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 26, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4617
20.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5849
36.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3810
-18.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4032
1.53
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2878
1.75*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6965
3.77***

Persistence:

0.856

Half-life:

4 days