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V-Lab
V-Lab

Jason Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

15.19%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

19.53%

increased by 3.84%

1 Month

35.68%

increased by 19.99%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jason Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 26, 2007 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.4592
4.19***
βGARCH0.5858
10.97***
γleverage-0.3784
-3.47***
λ₁tau intercept0.3894
1.52
λ₂forecast adj.0.2867
1.87*
λ₃tau persistence0.6989
4.59***

0.856

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4592
4.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5858
10.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3784
-3.47***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3894
1.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2867
1.87*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6989
4.59***

Persistence:

0.856

Half-life:

4 days