V-Lab
Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
19.86%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
20.73%
increased by 0.49%
1 Month
22.40%
increased by 2.16%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 108% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0674 | 19.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7923 | 91.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0730 | 14.00*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0113 | 5.99*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0354 | 6.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9618 | 177.52*** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
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