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V-Lab
V-Lab

Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

18.57%

increased by 0.49%

1 Week

18.93%

increased by 0.85%

1 Month

20.27%

increased by 2.19%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~135 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0341
5.13***
αARCH0.0827
10.89***
βGARCH0.9122
121.93***

0.995

Persistence

135d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0341
5.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0827
10.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9122
121.93***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

135 days