Skip to main content
V-Lab

Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

20.86%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

21.22%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

22.54%

increased by 1.14%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daiwa House Industry Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 108 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 110% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0410
18.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0551
19.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9082
458.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0606
10.74***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

108 days