CBOE Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	51
αARCH	0.2933	6.95***
βGARCH	0.6679	19.53***
γleverage	-0.2933	-6.22***
λ₁tau intercept	0.4015	0.44
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0039	0.79
λ₃tau persistence	0.9889	48.40***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	51
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2933	6.95***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6679	19.53***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.2933	-6.22***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.4015	0.44
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0039	0.79
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9889	48.40***

V-Lab

CBOE VIX Indicative Ask Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other CBOE VIX Indicative Ask Index Analyses