Skip to main content
V-Lab

CBOE VIX Indicative Ask Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

147.87%

increased by 52.19%

1 Week

140.10%

increased by 44.42%

1 Month

128.61%

increased by 32.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 11:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE VIX Indicative Ask Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 18, 2009 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2944
35.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6672
57.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2944
-29.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3976
0.65
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0041
1.10
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9889
70.47***

Persistence:

0.814

Half-life:

3 days