Skip to main content
V-Lab

iTraxx/CBOE Europe Crossover 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

147.47%

increased by 40.83%

1 Week

143.98%

increased by 37.34%

1 Month

135.70%

increased by 29.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iTraxx/CBOE Europe Crossover 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1706
19.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8078
71.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1424
-15.77***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0099
0.55
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0028
2.99***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9972
861.88***

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days