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V-Lab

iTraxx/CBOE Europe Crossover 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

87.23%

decreased by 1.07%

1 Week

89.28%

increased by 0.98%

1 Month

94.42%

increased by 6.12%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iTraxx/CBOE Europe Crossover 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8553
17.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1651
16.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8335
113.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1352
-11.04***

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days