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V-Lab

iTraxx/CBOE Europe Crossover 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

137.03%

increased by 44.06%

1 Week

133.04%

increased by 40.07%

1 Month

122.06%

increased by 29.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iTraxx/CBOE Europe Crossover 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility) GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8725
16.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1670
16.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8319
111.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1365
-11.05***

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days