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V-Lab

iShares Core US REIT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

15.28%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

16.27%

increased by 1.08%

1 Month

17.66%

increased by 2.47%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of iShares Core US REIT ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 3, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8111
79.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1358
18.24***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1404
1.11
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3294
1.33
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5736
1.67*

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days