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V-Lab

iShares Core US REIT ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

15.24%

increased by 0.71%

1 Week

15.38%

increased by 0.85%

1 Month

15.87%

increased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of iShares Core US REIT ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 3, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 302% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0274
10.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0286
7.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9082
223.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0862
8.72***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days